Figures Don’t Lie But Liars Figure––Will There Be Some Obamacare Rate Shock in 2015?

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1. How Many People Have Enrolled So Far in Obamacare’s Second Open Enrollment? Undoubtedly I will hear that question many times in the coming weeks. The answer is that this enrollment process is so screwed up we will have no earthly idea how many new people have enrolled and how many 2014 enrollees remained on the program until at least April 2015. Let me try to illustrate. Let's say George is now enrolled in Obamacare. He is happy to have subsidized and guaranteed...
2. Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker’s Medicaid Policy––and Now His Position Not to Save Insurance Subsidies if the Supreme Court Strikes Them… Speaking to a conservative group in Wisconsin this week, presumptive presidential candidate Scott Walker said he would not move to establish a state exchange in order to preserve the Obamacare federal insurance exchange subsidies if the Supreme Court strikes them down in an expected June ruling: We're going to push back. The President of the United States––they've got to come up with a solution....
3. Supreme Court Takes the Obamacare Subsidy Case–Justices Will Rule Before July 1 In a Wow moment, the Supreme Court announced Friday that they will take one of the four pending "Halbig" cases––specifically King v. Burwell. The issue is over whether the new health law actually authorizes the payment of premium subsidies in the 37 states that will rely upon the federal government to run their exchange in 2015. This effort is being made on a number of fronts but has been...
4. The New York Times: Has Obamacare Enrollment Stalled? Readers of this blog know that I have made a number of points about Obamacare in recent months: The number of people signing up for Obamacare is well below the level necessary to make the rates stable over the long-term––the longstanding insurance industry standard calls for getting 75{c754d8f4a6af077a182a96e5a5e47e38ce50ff83c235579d09299c097124e52d} of an eligible group in order to have enough healthy people in the pool to pay the costs of the sick people. I...
5. Republicans: "We Have a Plan For Fixing Health Care" If the Supreme Court Eliminates Subsidies in as Many as 37 States––It Won’t Be So… Key Senate Republican committee chairman Orrin Hatch (UT), John Barrasso (WY), and Lamar Alexander (TN) have an op-ed in the Washington Post today saying they have a plan if millions of Americans lose their Obamacare subsidies this summer. First, I have no idea how the Court will rule, likely in late June. While it is hard for me to see Chief Justice John Roberts voting to strike a major blow to...